| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.7330 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This contract tests whether SOL meets the $86.7330 target over a specified 15‑minute interval; it matters because short‑window contracts highlight immediate liquidity and market microstructure. Traders use them to express views on very near‑term price moves and to hedge short‑lived exposure.
Solana (SOL) is a high‑throughput blockchain token that often shows pronounced intraday volatility driven by exchange order flow, large trades, and network events. Short‑interval targets like this are sensitive to timestamp conventions, the chosen price feed or exchange, and transient market events. The market is listed on KALSHI with a close time listed as TBD, so traders should confirm settlement rules before trading.
Market odds represent the aggregate market view about whether the contract’s precise settlement condition will be met at resolution; for a 15‑minute target, those odds can change quickly as new trades or news arrive. Always check the contract’s official settlement source and timestamp to interpret any quoted price.
The definitive outcome definition and settlement source are in the KALSHI contract text: it will specify the exact 15‑minute timestamp, the price feed or exchange used, and the rule for determining whether the target condition is met. Review that contract page before trading to know how settlement is computed.
Closes: TBD means KALSHI has not published a final close time; monitor the contract page for updates. The market may stay open for trading until KALSHI sets a close and publishes the settlement interval and timestamp.
Zero volume indicates no recorded trades yet, which implies low liquidity and potentially wide spreads; entering or exiting positions could move the market more than expected, so assess order size and execution risk carefully.
Fifteen‑minute targets are exposed to microstructure noise: single large trades, exchange anomalies, timestamp rounding, and transient liquidity gaps can decide the outcome. These contracts are less about fundamentals and more about immediate order flow and execution timing.
Check the KALSHI post‑resolution details on the contract page, which should cite the official price source and timestamp. You can corroborate by reviewing the quoted exchange or index price history for the specified 15‑minute interval and any KALSHI settlement notes or dispute records.