| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.7078 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tests whether Solana (SOL) will interact with the $86.7078 price level during a specified 15-minute measurement interval; it matters for traders who want to profit from or hedge against very short-term price moves.
SOL is a high-liquidity but often volatile cryptocurrency, and 15‑minute targets are sensitive to order‑book dynamics, bots, and short-lived news. Events like large market orders, exchange outages, on‑chain developments, or macro crypto flows can create rapid moves that determine whether a tight intraday target is hit.
Market odds on this contract represent the collective expectations of traders about the contract resolving as defined; they update in real time and should be treated as market-implied signals rather than static forecasts.
Resolution follows the event's official rules on KALSHI: they will specify the exact price source (a named exchange or aggregate), whether they use trade prints, quotes, or an average, and the precise start/end timestamps for the 15-minute window. Consult the event's resolution text for the definitive method.
The start time is defined in the event's resolution language and is typically a fixed timestamp (often in UTC) rather than triggered by price movement. If the event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', KALSHI will publish the scheduled window before resolution.
Whether a transient touch counts depends on the contract's resolution method: a single trade print may count if trade prints are the reference, whereas an averaged-price or midpoint rule might exclude fleeting ticks. Check the event's resolution rules to know which data points are authoritative.
It means no contracts have traded yet; early liquidity may be thin, spreads wide, and individual orders can move quoted odds. If you prefer deeper markets, consider waiting for more participation or placing limit orders sized to minimize price impact.
Track live SOL prices and order books on major exchanges, set price alerts around the target, monitor on‑chain indicators (volume, large transfers), follow breaking crypto and macro news, and watch scheduled events (token unlocks, network upgrades) that could drive short-term volatility.