| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.6798 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of SOL will reach the specified $86.6798 target within a 15-minute window. Short-window threshold markets matter because they isolate intraday volatility and let traders express views on immediate price moves and liquidity events.
Solana (SOL) is a high-throughput blockchain whose token price is sensitive to both protocol-level developments and broader crypto market swings. Fifteen-minute targets are driven by intraday order flow, exchange liquidity, and news flow rather than long-term fundamentals, so events like network outages, large block trades, or sudden macro headlines can cause rapid moves. Market participants use these short-window markets to hedge or speculate on microstructure and catalyst-driven moves.
Prediction market prices represent the market consensus about the likelihood of the specified event occurring in the named window; they update continuously as new information arrives. For short-window events, expect rapid changes as order books and news change in real time.
Settlement is based on the official reference price feed specified in the event rules; generally a price print at or above the target on that feed during the 15-minute window qualifies. Check the event page for the precise feed and settlement rule language used by the platform.
The start and end timestamps for the 15-minute interval are defined on the event page and in the market's rulebook; because this market currently shows 'Closes: TBD', you must monitor the event listing or platform announcements for the scheduled window and official timezone.
The platform specifies a particular exchange, aggregated index, or oracle for settlement in the event details; consult that field on the event page to see which data source will be authoritative for this market.
Usually any print at or above the target on the official reference feed during the window counts, regardless of duration, but precise handling of microsecond prints or rounding is governed by the market's settlement rules—review them on the event page.
The marketplace has contingency rules for data outages, which may include using an alternative feed, applying a delay, or following a predefined arbitration process; consult the platform's dispute and settlement policy for how such cases are resolved for this specific event.