| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.6747 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will reach the specified target level of $86.6747 within a defined 15‑minute measurement window. Short‑window markets like this matter because they isolate very short‑term price action and microstructure events that larger timeframes smooth over.
Solana is a high‑volatility cryptocurrency whose price can move substantially in minutes due to news, large orders, or network events; intraday and sub‑hour markets capture those rapid moves. Markets tied to specific minute windows emphasize exchange liquidity, timestamping, and the selected price feed for settlement, so historical volatility and recent network reliability are relevant background considerations.
Odds in this market reflect the collective view of traders about whether the specified price condition will be met during the 15‑minute window; they update in real time as new information, order flow, or liquidity changes the perceived likelihood of that outcome.
Resolution depends on the platform's precise settlement clause for this market — typically it requires the reference SOL price to meet or cross the stated target during the defined 15‑minute measurement window. Consult the market's resolution rules on the KALSHI event page to see whether 'meet', 'exceed', or a specific tick definition applies.
The 15‑minute window is a contiguous 15‑minute period used to check the reference price; because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD', the platform has not published the start/end timestamps yet. KALSHI will announce the exact window timing on the market page before trading or resolution.
The event will resolve using the reference data source specified in the market's settlement terms on the KALSHI page; that could be a specific exchange, an aggregated index, or a designated market data provider. Always check the market's 'settlement source' field for the exact provider.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the market's rule (e.g., 'any trade at or above' vs. 'closing price' vs. an averaged price). Many short‑window markets count any qualifying print within the window, but you should verify the exact inclusion criteria in the market's resolution specification.
KALSHI's dispute and settlement policy governs these cases: typical actions include using pre‑specified backup feeds, extending the measurement window, or initiating a manual review. The market's rules or the platform's help center describe the procedures to follow if anomalies occur.