| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.4825 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether SOL will meet a $86.4825 price target during a specified 15‑minute interval. It matters because short, time‑bound price targets test immediate market dynamics and can be useful for traders hedging or speculating on near‑term moves.
SOL is a liquid, high‑volatility crypto asset whose price can move quickly in response to network events, large trades, or macro news. Fifteen‑minute targets emphasize intraday microstructure: order‑book depth, exchange execution timing, and brief news shocks matter more than for longer‑horizon markets. The market source (KALSHI) will use defined resolution rules and a specified price feed or exchange index to determine outcome.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate beliefs of participants about whether SOL will hit the target in that specific 15‑minute interval and update as new information arrives. They are not guarantees but a real‑time summary of market sentiment and liquidity conditions that influence the immediate probability of the outcome.
The market applies its resolution to a single 15‑minute interval specified by the platform; the event page or resolution rules will list the official start and end timestamps once scheduled. Until that is posted, the precise interval is not defined.
Resolution follows the platform's stated price‑feed rules: it will specify the exchange(s) or index and whether a last trade, midpoint, or aggregated price is used. Consult the KALSHI resolution details on the event page for the authoritative source.
If the designated price feed experiences gaps or an exchange outage, the platform's fallback and error‑handling rules apply; those rules (e.g., alternate feeds,延迟 sampling, or null resolution procedures) are published in the event's resolution policy.
The event's wording determines whether a single touch, a sustained period above/below, or an average price meets the condition—check the exact resolution clause on the event page to see which criterion applies to this market.
Zero or low trading volume means there is limited market information embedded in prices and wider spreads; it doesn't change the resolution mechanics, but outcomes can be more sensitive to new orders or news once trading begins.