| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.4710 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the SOL/USD price will meet the $86.4710 target within the event's defined 15‑minute evaluation framework on KALSHI. It matters because short, time‑bounded price targets capture high‑frequency risk and news-driven moves that can create trading and hedging opportunities.
SOL is an actively traded crypto asset whose price reacts to a mix of on‑chain developments, exchange order flow, and broader crypto and macro liquidity conditions. Short‑duration markets like a 15‑minute target reflect intraday volatility rather than longer‑term trends and are sensitive to sudden announcements, exchange outages, or concentrated market orders. The event page shows minimal initial volume and a TBD close time, so settlement rules and the designated price source should be checked before trading.
Prediction market prices represent the market’s consensus view about whether the event condition will be met, not a guaranteed outcome. For time‑bound price targets, interpret odds as the market’s real‑time aggregation of trader opinions about short‑term price dynamics and risk.
It denotes a short, 15‑minute evaluation period used to determine whether the price condition is met; the market will use its designated settlement rules and data feed to evaluate price during that interval, so consult the event's settlement details on KALSHI for the precise timestamp and measurement method.
Settlement uses the specific price feed or exchange source named in the market rules on KALSHI; that feed and the exact timestamp or interval definition determine the official price used to decide whether the $86.4710 target was hit.
The event's close time is listed as TBD; KALSHI will publish the closing timestamp and the settlement window on the event page—traders should monitor the page for the official close and settlement announcement.
That indicates the market focuses on a single price target condition rather than multiple price bands; the event's rules will state whether the payoff is binary (yes/no) or uses another settlement mechanism, so review the event terms to confirm payoff structure.
High‑impact items include large exchange market orders or coordinated trades, sudden on‑chain incidents (e.g., outages), major news releases affecting Solana or crypto markets, and rapid liquidation cascades from leveraged positions—any of which can create short, sharp price moves within the 15‑minute interval.