| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.4652 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will reach the $86.4652 target during a specified 15‑minute measurement window. It matters to traders who want to express or hedge very short‑term views on SOL price action and volatility.
Solana is a high‑throughput blockchain whose token often exhibits rapid intraday moves driven by liquidity, on‑chain events, and broader crypto market swings. Short‑interval prediction markets like this one focus on microstructure and event‑driven dynamics rather than longer‑term fundamentals, so outcomes can hinge on transient order‑book imbalances or time‑specific news.
Market odds reflect the aggregated expectations of participants about whether SOL will hit the target within that 15‑minute window; they update quickly as new information or trades arrive, so treat them as a real‑time consensus rather than a fixed forecast.
It refers to the single 15‑minute interval during which the reference price will be evaluated for settlement; the market’s contract terms specify how the start time of that interval is determined and how ties or outliers are handled—consult the market description for the precise timing rules.
Settlement typically relies on a pre‑specified reference data source or composite price identified in the market’s rules; check the event’s settlement/data‑source field on the platform or the official KALSHI market documentation for the exact feed.
The event currently lists a close time as TBD, so the exact window and market expiry have not been published; monitor the market page for an announced settlement time before assuming a specific interval.
Zero or very low traded volume indicates thin liquidity and that prices may be driven by individual orders; low volume can mean wide spreads and higher execution risk, so treat implied market beliefs with caution until volume increases.
Examples include rapid BTC or market‑wide moves, a major exchange listing or delisting announcement, large whale transfers or exchange inflows/outflows, sudden network outages or performance incidents, and cascade liquidations in leveraged derivatives.