| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.4135 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Solana (SOL) will hit a price target of $86.4135 during a contiguous 15-minute observation window. Short-interval targets matter because they isolate brief, high-impact moves that are relevant for traders focused on intraday volatility and event-driven strategies.
SOL is a widely traded cryptocurrency with historically high intraday volatility; short timeframes like 15 minutes can capture flash moves driven by news, liquidity gaps, or order-book imbalances. KALSHI-style event contracts settle against a specified price source and time window, so the market is a bet on a narrowly defined price event rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Market prices on this contract represent the crowd’s real-time assessment of whether the target will be met during that 15-minute window and will move as new information arrives. Treat quoted prices as a dynamic consensus signal, and consult the event’s settlement rules for how outcomes are verified.
A successful outcome occurs if the official reference price specified in the market’s settlement terms reaches or exceeds $86.4135 at any point during the defined contiguous 15-minute observation window, as recorded by the event’s designated price source.
The precise start and end timestamps will be posted on the event page when KALSHI schedules the observation window; until those timestamps are published the market remains open but the official observation period is not yet set.
Settlement will use the exchange or aggregated price feed listed in the market’s settlement details on the event page; that specification defines the sources and any aggregation or tie-breaking rules used to determine the official price.
Zero or low historical volume typically indicates low liquidity, which can mean wider bid-ask spreads and difficulty entering or exiting large positions; volume can change as the event is scheduled or as news arrives, so monitor order-book depth and use order types appropriate for low-liquidity markets.
Rapid price moves in this timeframe are usually caused by breaking news about Solana, major exchange order imbalances or outages, large market orders or liquidations, coordinated trading activity, or sudden shifts in broader crypto market sentiment—especially when combined with low liquidity.