| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.2200 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks whether the price of SOL will meet the $86.2200 target in relation to a 15-minute evaluation window. It matters because minute-level price-target markets let traders express views on very near-term price moves and liquidity events for SOL.
Solana (SOL) is a high-throughput blockchain whose spot price can move quickly in short windows because of concentrated order flow, liquidations, or news-driven spikes. Minute-based contractual targets like this are typically used to isolate short-term microstructure dynamics rather than longer-term fundamentals. The market is hosted on KALSHI and will resolve according to the platform's stated price source and settlement rules.
Market odds reflect the aggregated views of participants about whether the $86.2200 level will be reached during the contract's 15-minute window and update continuously as new information and trades arrive. Use those odds as a real-time consensus signal, remembering they change with market activity and incoming news.
It indicates the outcome is evaluated over a 15-minute interval. The contract's official market description on KALSHI will state whether that is a single pre-specified 15-minute window or any 15-minute span and will give the exact start/stop times used for resolution.
Settlement will follow the price source and timestamp rules specified in the market contract; typically that means referencing one or more listed exchange feeds or an official aggregated price at the quoted timestamps. Consult the market rules on KALSHI to see the exact data sources and settlement methodology.
If the closure time is not yet listed, the market will close prior to the start of the relevant 15-minute evaluation window; resolution occurs after that window using the documented price feed. Check the KALSHI market page for updated close and resolution timestamps as they are posted.
Official settlement procedures often include safeguards such as using exchange-level consolidated prices, averaging, or anomaly checks to prevent a single erroneous tick from dictating outcome. The precise handling of outliers is defined in the market's resolution rules on KALSHI.
Large OTC or exchange orders, liquidation cascades, algorithmic traders and market makers, and time-sensitive news about Solana or broader crypto markets (e.g., listings, regulatory announcements, exchange outages) are the primary drivers that can cause the price to cross the $86.2200 threshold during a short interval.