| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.2027 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Solana (SOL) will meet a $86.2027 price threshold within a 15-minute measurement window; it matters because short intraday thresholds capture extreme, fast-moving price behavior that traders and observers use to express views on near-term volatility.
SOL is a highly traded cryptocurrency with frequent intraday swings driven by liquidity, on-chain events, and broader crypto market sentiment. A 15-minute target isolates very short-term moves rather than end-of-day or longer-term trends, so outcomes reflect spikes, dumps, or rapid repricing episodes rather than sustained price levels.
Market prices on this platform represent what traders are willing to pay or accept for the binary outcome; interpret them as the aggregated market view of how likely this specific 15-minute threshold will be met, keeping in mind prices update in real time as new information arrives.
The market refers to a specific 15-minute interval or a set of 15-minute timestamps defined in the contract terms; whether the contract checks a single timestamp, a rolling 15-minute candle, or any point within that window is specified in the market rules — check the event description on KALSHI for the precise measurement method.
The contract will use the price source named in its settlement rules (an index or list of exchanges/data feeds); that designated source and its computation method determine the official price used for settlement — confirm the listed data provider on the market page before trading.
A TBD closing means the platform has not fixed the market’s end time; KALSHI will publish the closing timestamp or conditions according to the event schedule or once the necessary window is known, so monitor the market page for updates and the official contract terms for any automatic close triggers.
Whether a brief touch satisfies the condition depends on the contract’s settlement definition (e.g., price at a timestamp, any trade above the threshold, or a close within a 15-minute candle); consult the market’s settlement rules to see how transient price contacts are treated.
Low or no trading volume implies limited liquidity and potentially wide bid/ask spreads, which increases execution risk for participants; it does not change the settlement conditions, but traders should be aware that thin order books can make entering or exiting positions more difficult and price discovery slower.