| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.1715 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market is a short-duration contract tied to SOL reaching a $86.1715 price target within a 15-minute resolution window. It matters because these ultra-short contracts isolate immediate order-flow and microstructure risks that can be useful for intraday speculation or hedging.
Solana (SOL) is a high-liquidity cryptocurrency whose price can move quickly on concentrated flows, exchange activity, or network events. Short 15-minute targets are driven more by intraday liquidity, large orders, and real-time news than by long-term fundamentals.
Market odds aggregate traders' beliefs about whether the contract's resolution condition will be met under the market's rule text; they update as new information arrives but do not guarantee outcomes.
It indicates the contract’s resolution is tied to whether SOL meets the specified $86.1715 condition within a 15-minute measurement window; the market’s official rule text defines whether resolution requires a single tick reach, an average, or another sampling method, so consult the contract rules on the platform for the precise resolution formula.
The definitive price source is specified in the market's resolution rules on Kalshi; it may be a single exchange, an aggregated feed, or a platform-specific oracle — check that rule text because different feeds can diverge in stressed moments.
The event listing shows the close time as TBD; platform updates will provide the market close and the scheduled resolution timestamp. After the applicable 15-minute window finishes, the platform typically follows its published settlement timeline for finalizing outcomes.
A single outcome means there is one resolution condition to evaluate (the contract either meets its defined target condition or it does not); the exact payout mechanics—binary payout, graded settlement, or cash settlement—are defined in the market’s rule text.
Last-minute large trades or block orders, sudden exchange order-book imbalances, an unexpected SOL network incident or announcement, and surprise macro or crypto-market news can all flip a 15-minute target in the closing minutes.