| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $86.0947 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tests whether the price of Solana (SOL) will meet a specified $86.0947 target within a 15-minute measurement tied to the platform's settlement rules. Short-duration price targets matter to traders who bet on minute-scale moves and to anyone tracking intraday volatility in SOL.
SOL is a high-liquidity cryptocurrency whose intraday price can move rapidly in response to exchange order flow, macro crypto moves, network events, and headlines. Markets that use short windows (like 15 minutes) are sensitive to transient spikes, thin order book conditions, and the choice of reference price or data feed used for settlement. Always consult the event's settlement specification for how the platform defines the measurement window and price source.
Market prices on prediction platforms reflect the collective, up-to-the-minute view of participants about whether the specified condition will be met under the platform's rules. Prices can move quickly as new information arrives; they should be interpreted as a dynamic consensus signal, not a guaranteed outcome.
The precise outcome depends on the market's settlement specification. Some events settle if the reference price trades at or above the target at any point during the 15-minute window, while others use an average or a specific feed. Check the event rules to see whether settlement uses an instantaneous trade, quote, or a timed aggregation.
The platform defines the start and end timestamps for the measurement window; these may be anchored to clock times or to a labeled interval on the event page. Refer to the event page and KALSHI's official settlement timeline for the exact timestamping convention.
Settlement normally follows the data source specified in the event documentation (for example, a specific exchange, a consolidated index, or an oracle). The event page or platform rules will identify the reference feed used for final determination.
Platforms typically have fallback procedures—such as using an alternate data feed, extending the measurement window, or applying an adjudication policy—but exact remedies vary. Review the dispute and force-majeure clauses in the event's settlement rules to understand how such incidents are handled.
Look at past minute-level price data around comparable price levels and events to assess how often SOL has produced sustained or transient moves of similar magnitude. Pay attention to liquidity at the target price during different market conditions, and review past occurrences tied to news, network events, or broader crypto volatility.