| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $85.8673 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the spot price of Solana (SOL) will reach the specific target level of $85.8673 at any point during a defined 15-minute measurement window. Short-window target markets matter because they capture expectations about rapid, high-impact price moves and intra-minute liquidity dynamics.
Solana is a major smart-contract blockchain known for high throughput and historically elevated intraday volatility compared with many established assets. Short-duration price-target events are sensitive to exchange liquidity, large orders, on-chain developments, and sudden news that can move crypto markets quickly. Market structure (centralized and decentralized venues, derivatives activity, and index composition) also affects how quickly and how far SOL prices can move in brief intervals.
Prediction market prices represent traders' aggregated views about whether the target will be achieved during the 15-minute window and will update as new information arrives. To interpret the market, consider it as a live consensus signal that incorporates news, order-flow expectations, and perceived settlement rules rather than a fixed probability.
It means outcome determination is based on whether SOL’s reference price reaches the stated target at any time within a continuous 15-minute measurement window; the market operator will specify the exact start and end timestamps and measurement rules in the event details.
Settlement will use the reference price source named by the market host (KALSHI) and described in the event rules—typically a designated exchange or an aggregated index; consult the event rulebook for the exact feed and any aggregation or tie-breaking procedures.
Closes: TBD indicates the market operator has not yet posted the official closing timestamp; until a close time is announced, participants should treat the schedule as unfinalized and monitor the event page for the published trading and settlement window.
Rapid attainment of the target is most commonly driven by concentrated large buy orders, sudden exchange or network news, listings/delistings, significant on-chain activity tied to a major project, or cascading derivatives liquidations that amplify short-term price moves.
The market operator (KALSHI) and the event’s published dispute/resolution procedures handle ambiguities; those procedures will reference the official price feed, rules for outages or anomalous data, and any corrective actions or arbitration steps available to participants.