| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $85.8253 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether SOL will reach the price target $85.8253 within a specified 15-minute interval. It matters to traders and hedgers who want to express or manage views on very short-term Solana price moves.
Solana is a high-liquidity cryptocurrency that often shows rapid intraday moves driven by concentrated order flow, macro crypto trends, and project-specific news. Fifteen-minute target markets focus on minute-scale liquidity and execution risk rather than longer-term fundamentals; settlement depends on the exchange or index and exact timestamp rules published by KALSHI.
Market odds reflect the real-time consensus of participants and the balance of buy/sell interest for this specific 15-minute SOL target. Interpret prices as a market-implied expectation subject to noise when volume is low or order books are thin.
Resolution follows the market's settlement condition as listed on the KALSHI market page—typically whether the designated reference price reaches the stated target at any point (or by a specified comparator) during the 15-minute interval. Check the market description for the precise comparator and rule.
The authoritative price source and any aggregation logic are declared in the market's settlement details on KALSHI; that section names the exchange(s) or index and defines how prices are sampled for the 15-minute window.
The start and end timestamps for the 15-minute interval will be set and displayed on the market page; 'Closes: TBD' means the schedule hasn't been published yet — monitor the listing for the official start time and timezone.
KALSHI's disruption and dispute policies govern such cases: they may use pre-specified fallback sources, pause resolution until data is reliable, or apply dispute procedures. Review KALSHI's resolution rules for the procedures that apply to this market.
Look at recent 15-minute historical moves for SOL, order-book snapshots on the settlement exchange(s), recent on-chain and news catalysts, and time-of-day liquidity patterns; combine those with awareness that low traded volume on this market itself can make quoted prices more volatile.