| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.1 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5.0 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 10.0 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 15.0 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 20.0 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 25.0 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 35.0 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether measurable snow will occur in the Denver area during March 2026 and is useful for people tracking seasonal weather risk, operational planning, or testing forecasts for late-winter conditions.
March in the Denver region is a transitional month with a wide range of possible outcomes driven by late-winter storm systems and springtime warming. Historical variability is large—some years feature significant late-season storms while others trend toward milder, drier conditions—and large-scale climate drivers can modulate the likelihood of storminess. How the market is written (which stations, thresholds, and time window are used) matters for interpreting outcomes.
Market prices reflect traders’ aggregated views based on available meteorological information and can move as forecasts and observations change; they are shorthand for consensus beliefs, not guarantees of a particular outcome.
The market's contract specifications list the geographic definition and/or the official station(s) used for settlement; this can range from a specific official station (such as the airport) to a set of counties or observation sites, so consult the event rules to see which locations count.
Settlement typically relies on official observations from the designated National Weather Service station(s), airport sensors, or other specified official sources named in the contract; the event rules will identify the authoritative dataset and any rounding or reporting conventions.
The contract should specify the precise start and end timestamps (including time zone or UTC reference) used for counting snow during March 2026; markets commonly use local or UTC midnight boundaries, so check the event page for the official window.
Multiple outcomes usually map to different snowfall ranges or discrete outcome categories, which lets traders express expectations about varying magnitudes of snow rather than a binary occurrence; the outcome that matches the observed measurement range is the one that settles.
Dispute and settlement procedures are defined in the market's rules and generally rely on the named official observing agency and their published records; if ambiguity remains, the market operator's dispute resolution process and cited authoritative sources determine final settlement.