| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 747500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 757500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 742500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 752500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 722500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 727500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 737500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 732500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the typical (median or index-defined) home value in the Seattle metropolitan area will be in March 2026. It matters because single-date home-value outcomes summarize expectations about local housing affordability, demand, and macroeconomic conditions at that point in time.
Seattle's housing market has been shaped over the past decade by strong job growth in technology and related sectors, significant in-migration, constrained land and zoning, and periodic affordability pressures. National monetary policy, local construction activity, and shifts in remote-work patterns have driven large swings in buyer demand and prices in recent years.
Market odds on this contract represent the aggregate, tradable consensus about which outcome will match the published data source and settlement rules for March 2026; they update continuously as new information arrives and should be read as a snapshot of market expectations, not an immutable forecast.
The contract will settle to a specific published statistic or index value for March 2026 as defined in the contract rules (for example a median sale price, an index reading, or MLS-derived measure). Consult the event's settlement specification on the platform for the authoritative definition and data source.
Settlement typically occurs after the designated data provider publishes the March 2026 figure, which can lag the calendar month; the platform's contract rules specify the publication used and the final settlement date once that source releases the data.
Key near-term movers include changes in monetary policy or mortgage rates, major hiring or layoff announcements from large Seattle employers, sudden changes in housing supply (e.g., large new developments), and policy decisions that affect zoning or taxation.
Past cycles show that Seattle home values are sensitive to tech-sector employment cycles, constrained housing supply, and shifts in remote-work preferences; those historical patterns help traders assess plausibility of different outcome ranges but do not guarantee future moves.
Participants include local real-estate investors, institutional traders, regional economists, and residents reacting to job, mortgage, and inventory news; they use employment data, mortgage-rate movements, building permit and inventory reports, big-company announcements, and monthly housing-index releases.