| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official unemployment rate in Russia for March 2026 as reported by the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat). It serves as a gauge for the long-term stability and tightness of the Russian labor market amidst ongoing economic shifts.
The Russian labor market has recently experienced record-low unemployment, driven by a combination of demographic challenges, intense demand from the defense sector, and the mobilization or emigration of portions of the workforce. Analysts monitor this metric closely to assess the impact of labor shortages on domestic production and inflationary pressures. Understanding this figure is essential for gauging the sustainability of Russia's economic output in the coming years.
The market prices reflect the collective consensus of participants regarding how current economic policies, labor supply, and demographic trends will converge by March 2026.
The result is based on the official data released by Rosstat, the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation.
Rosstat defines the unemployed as individuals aged 15-72 who are without work, actively seeking it, and available for employment, consistent with International Labour Organization (ILO) standards.
Significant labor shortages often drive the unemployment rate lower, as firms compete for a shrinking pool of available workers, potentially masking structural economic imbalances.
The market resolution typically relies on the initial official reading provided by the primary source at the time of publication.
This market tracks the headline unemployment rate reported by Rosstat, which is generally presented as a non-seasonally adjusted figure unless otherwise specified in the official release.