| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.33991 or above | 68% | 70¢ | 88¢ | — | $601 | Trade → |
| $1.35991 or above | 63% | 54¢ | 68¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| $1.31991 or above | 81% | 81¢ | 95¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $1.25991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.09991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.19991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.17991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.39991 or above | 0% | 10¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.41991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.93991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.61991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.63991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.53991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.97991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.95991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.23991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.47991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.49991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.57991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.27991 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.59991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.11991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.07991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.65991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.67991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.45991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.51991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.21991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.55991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.15991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.43991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.13991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.37991 or above | 0% | 29¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.29991 or above | 0% | 88¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.89991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.05991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.01991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.99991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.03991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.91991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the market price of Ripple (XRP) will be at Mar 7, 2026 at 5pm EST; it matters because it lets traders express views on XRP’s value at a specific timestamp and provides a real-time consensus signal about expectations for price movement.
XRP’s price reflects a mix of crypto market trends, regulatory developments (notably past and ongoing litigation and rule-making related to XRP), Ripple Labs’ business activity, and macro financial conditions. Since this market fixes a specific timestamp, short-term events (exchanges, on-chain flows, major announcements, macro releases) close to that timestamp can be decisive for which outcome resolves.
Market odds here summarize how participants collectively price the chance of each discrete outcome; they update as new information arrives and should be used as a real-time indicator of market sentiment rather than a guaranteed prediction.
The 40 outcomes split the possible XRP price range at the specified timestamp into discrete bins; an outcome pays off if the observed reference price falls within that bin at 5pm EST. Consult the market page for the exact price intervals defining each outcome.
Resolution uses the reference price source specified by KALSHI for this market; the market description or rulebook lists the exact exchange(s) or aggregated feed and any tie-breaking or fallback procedures—check that documentation or contact KALSHI support for confirmation.
The market’s trading close can be set by KALSHI and may be earlier than the resolution timestamp; because this field is currently listed as TBD, verify the market page for the official last-trade cutoff and any order cancellation windows before placing trades.
KALSHI’s resolution rules govern such cases—many platforms use a primary reference feed, reject clearly erroneous prints, or apply fallbacks (e.g., aggregated prices or time-weighted averages); review the market’s resolution policy to understand how outliers or missing data will be handled.
Relevant historical context includes past court rulings and regulatory milestones involving Ripple, prior large XRP escrow releases and token movements, major exchange listings/delistings, and episodes when Bitcoin or macro shocks produced rapid XRP price moves—these patterns show how legal, supply, and market-wide shocks have previously moved XRP.