| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.39991 or above | 19% | 13¢ | 24¢ | — | $334 | Trade → |
| $1.37991 or above | 25% | 26¢ | 30¢ | — | $275 | Trade → |
| $1.41991 or above | 12% | 4¢ | 14¢ | — | $262 | Trade → |
| $1.35991 or above | 40% | 42¢ | 49¢ | — | $171 | Trade → |
| $1.31991 or above | 80% | 72¢ | 82¢ | — | $151 | Trade → |
| $1.13991 or above | 99% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1.21991 or above | 99% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1.15991 or above | 99% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1.11991 or above | 99% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1.09991 or above | 99% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1.07991 or above | 99% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1.19991 or above | 99% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1.17991 or above | 99% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1.23991 or above | 99% | 94¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1.51991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.61991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.63991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.45991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.65991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.67991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.25991 or above | 0% | 90¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.57991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.43991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.33991 or above | 0% | 59¢ | 69¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.49991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.29991 or above | 0% | 83¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.27991 or above | 0% | 87¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.99991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.01991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.05991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.47991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.03991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.97991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.91991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.93991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.95991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $0.89991 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.55991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.53991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.59991 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which price bucket XRP (Ripple) will fall into at Mar 3, 2026 at 5pm EST, letting traders express and aggregate expectations about the token’s short-term value. It matters because the market price distills diverse information about legal, technical, and macro drivers affecting XRP into a single market-implied view.
The contract sits within a broader history of XRP moving in response to regulatory developments involving Ripple Labs, on‑chain adoption of the XRPL, and general cryptocurrency market cycles. Kalshi hosts a set number of discrete outcomes (40) that partition possible XRP prices at the settlement timestamp; the market has modest trading volume so far, which can affect liquidity and price discovery.
Market odds on this platform reflect traders' collective expectations about which discrete price range will contain the official reference price at the specified timestamp. To interpret prices here, treat them as real‑time expressions of belief rather than fixed forecasts — they can move as new information arrives up to settlement.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined price interval; the outcome whose interval contains the official settlement price at exactly Mar 3, 2026 at 5pm EST will be declared the winner per the contract’s settlement rules.
The market’s contract description on Kalshi specifies the reference price source and any aggregation method used for settlement; consult that specification because the market will be settled against that stated feed or methodology.
Yes—settlement uses the price at the specified timestamp, so any news that moves the market before that instant can change the settlement price; however, only the official reference price at the timestamp determines the winning bucket.
Low volume typically means wider spreads and greater price impact from individual trades, so market prices may be noisier and less robust as signals; it also increases the chance that a small number of orders can shift market odds before settlement.
The contract and Kalshi’s rules describe fallback and dispute procedures, which may include using alternative data sources, outlier filters, or an arbitration process; follow the market’s published settlement rules for details on how such situations are resolved.