| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1 inch | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 7 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks total precipitation levels in Seattle during the month of April 2026. It serves as a gauge for climate variability and regional weather pattern expectations in the Pacific Northwest.
Seattle is historically known for its rainy climate, particularly during the shoulder seasons. While April is often categorized as a transition month between the wet winter and the drier summer, year-to-year rainfall totals can fluctuate significantly based on broader meteorological phenomena.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of weather data analysts and climate observers regarding how the upcoming April rainfall will deviate from historical averages.
The event typically relies on official National Weather Service (NWS) reporting stations, specifically the official recording site at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
April is generally considered a moderate month, receiving less precipitation than the peak winter months of November and December, but significantly more than the dry summer months of July and August.
The outcomes are segmented into ranges of total accumulated inches of rain, often categorized by specific numerical intervals defined in the market's specific contract specifications.
Yes, because the market tracks the cumulative total for the entire month, a single heavy atmospheric river event can shift the total rainfall significantly, potentially moving the final result into a higher bracket.
The final result will be determined shortly after the conclusion of April 2026, once the official data for the entire month has been verified and released by the relevant meteorological authorities.