| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1 inch | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 4 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 5 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 7 inches | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks whether measurable precipitation occurs in Denver during the month of April 2026. It serves as a data-driven tool for assessing regional climate patterns and local meteorological trends.
April is historically a transition month for Denver, characterized by high volatility as the city shifts from winter snowpack conditions to spring rainfall. Because Denver's weather is heavily influenced by the 'upslope effect' where moist air meets the Rocky Mountains, precipitation totals can vary significantly from year to year. Analyzing historical records for this month provides insight into the frequency of these seasonal weather events.
The market prices reflect the aggregate expectation of whether the total precipitation will meet or exceed the specified criteria, incorporating current climate models and historical meteorological averages.
This market typically relies on official data from the National Weather Service (NWS) station at Denver International Airport to determine if measurable precipitation occurred.
Users should check the specific contract rules, as most weather markets define 'rain' or 'precipitation' based on the liquid water equivalent measured by official stations.
Denver's proximity to the Rocky Mountains creates unique orographic lift, which can trap moisture and increase the probability of precipitation when winds blow from the east.
The market will resolve once official data for the entire month of April 2026 is compiled and certified by the designated weather reporting agencies.
April often marks the battleground between lingering cold arctic air masses and the arrival of warmer spring air, leading to unpredictable shifts between rain, snow, and dry periods.