| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1340000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1440000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1540000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1640000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1740000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1840000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1940000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2040000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2140000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2240000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2340000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2440000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2540000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2640000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2740000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the total number of travelers processed through U.S. Transportation Security Administration (TSA) checkpoints on April 16, 2026. These figures serve as a high-frequency economic indicator for domestic travel demand and broader consumer spending trends.
TSA checkpoint volume is the primary metric for tracking U.S. aviation activity, providing daily insights into travel recovery and seasonal fluctuations. Historical data reveals distinct spikes during holidays and major events, reflecting shifts in discretionary income and public health conditions. Analysts monitor this data to gauge the health of the tourism, airline, and hospitality industries.
The market prices reflect the aggregate wisdom of participants regarding the expected passenger volume for this specific date, adjusted for seasonal norms and anticipated economic conditions.
The official numbers are derived from the daily public reports provided by the U.S. Transportation Security Administration (TSA).
April 16, 2026, falls on a Thursday; mid-week travel volumes generally differ from weekend peaks and are typically driven by a mix of business travelers and non-holiday leisure trips.
Significant weather disruptions across major travel hubs would likely lead to flight cancellations, resulting in lower passenger throughput reported by TSA checkpoints.
This figure includes all passengers departing from U.S. airports, including those on international flights, as they are all processed through the same TSA security checkpoints.
No, this market tracks actual throughput at security checkpoints; only individuals who successfully arrive at the airport and are screened by the TSA are included in the final count.