| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Cooper | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
| Wiley Nickel | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Daryl Farrow | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Jeff Jackson | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Justin Dues | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $502 | Trade → |
| Marcus Williams | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $255 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate from North Carolina. It matters because the nominee will shape the general election matchup and party strategy in a competitive statewide race.
North Carolina is frequently a competitive statewide battleground with a mix of urban Democratic strength and more conservative rural areas; recent cycles have seen close Senate and gubernatorial contests. The nominating process typically produces a single Democratic nominee via the state party’s primary or convention procedures, and that choice can be influenced by national trends, fundraising, and local organization.
Market prices aggregate trader beliefs about which listed outcome will ultimately be the official Democratic nominee and update as new information arrives; treat movements as signals about changing expectations rather than forecasts that are certain to occur.
It resolves to whichever individual is officially certified by North Carolina’s Democratic Party or election authorities as the party’s nominee for the U.S. Senate according to the market’s stated resolution criteria; check the market rules for the exact certification standard used.
When a candidate withdraws prior to the official nomination, market prices typically adjust to reflect the remaining options; platform-specific resolution rules determine whether withdrawn candidates remain tradable or are removed and whether any contracts are voided.
This market is specific to who becomes the Democratic nominee and does not directly reflect the subsequent general election result; separate markets or instruments cover general-election outcomes.
Resolution timing depends on the official party nomination process and the market operator’s rules; the market will resolve after the nominee is officially certified or the platform’s announced resolution event occurs—check the market page for updates on the close date.
Key movers include official candidate filings or withdrawals, state primary dates and rule changes, major endorsements, published primary polling, campaign finance reports, debate performances, and any significant scandals or news stories affecting listed candidates.