| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas R. Davis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Noble Milton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tanisha Garner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nasheedah Singleton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Debra Salters | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sheila Montague | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jhamar Youngblood | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ras Baraka | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which candidate will win the Newark mayoral race; it matters because the mayor shapes local policy on public safety, housing, economic development, and city services.
Newark is New Jersey's largest city and its municipal elections are shaped by neighborhood (ward) politics, turnout patterns, and local institutions such as unions, community organizations, and business interests. Recent elections have emphasized crime, schools, development, and equity, and incumbency and name recognition have historically mattered in citywide races.
Market prices represent the crowd's current aggregate view of who is most likely to be the official, certified winner and update as new information arrives; treat them as a real-time consensus signal, not a guarantee.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; settlement will follow the platform's stated rules and the official, certified election result announced by Newark election authorities. If you need the exact close time, check the market page or platform notices for updates.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific listed candidate (and in some markets an 'other' or 'no winner' option). Consult the event page to see which name maps to which outcome; the winning outcome will be the candidate officially declared the certified winner.
If the race remains unresolved on election night due to a recount, legal challenge, or other delay, the market will follow the platform's resolution policy and ultimately settle to the candidate certified as the winner by election authorities once the contest is officially decided.
Endorsements and organized mobilization matter more in municipal races with lower turnout; they can improve a candidate's ground game, fundraising, and legitimacy among key constituencies, potentially shifting market sentiment as endorsements are announced.
Announcements of major endorsements, credible polling or campaign internal data specific to Newark, dramatic changes in turnout indicators, key debates or scandals, and official election-day reports or certification updates are the kinds of information that typically move prices.