| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gonzalez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kathy Hochul | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alvin Bragg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrew Cuomo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tom Suozzi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jumaane Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Letitia James | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ritchie Torres | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Antonio Delgado | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market lets traders take positions on which individual will be the Democratic nominee for New York governor. It matters because the nominee shapes the party's platform, general election matchup, and control of the state executive branch.
New York's Democratic nomination is typically settled through a primary process influenced by party endorsements, county organizations, and official ballot access rules. Historically, candidates with strong statewide name recognition, organized field operations, and broad fundraising networks have an advantage; primary outcomes are also sensitive to turnout patterns and timely news events.
Market prices aggregate trader expectations about who will be the officially certified nominee and update as new information arrives. Use prices as a real-time sentiment indicator alongside polling, official filings, and authoritative news sources rather than as definitive predictions.
For this market, 'nominee' refers to the candidate officially recognized as the Democratic nominee for New York governor according to the market's settlement rules; settlement will rely on official certification or widely accepted official results as defined by the market operator.
'Closes: TBD' means the market has not specified a final trading cutoff; trading may remain open until the operator sets an end condition or until official nomination certification. Traders should monitor the market page and operator announcements for the official close or settlement timeline.
If a listed candidate withdraws or a new candidate emerges after the market is live, prices typically adjust to reflect the changed field; the market will still settle to the officially recognized nominee at certification. Check the event's specific rules for how the operator handles outcome removal, substitutions, or cancellations.
This market contains nine discrete outcomes chosen by the market creator, usually including the leading declared candidates and one or more catch-all options (e.g., 'Other' or lesser-known entrants). Consult the event page for the exact roster of named outcomes and any catch-all options.
Key triggers include statewide poll releases, major endorsements, large fundraising hauls or reporting, debate performances, a candidate's withdrawal or entry, ballot access decisions, and any legal or scandal-related news affecting viability.