| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Colom | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Albert Littell | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Priscilla Williams-Till | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $680 | Trade → |
This market asks which person will be the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Mississippi; it matters because the nominee determines Democratic strategy and competitiveness in the statewide general election.
Mississippi is a state where statewide federal races have favored Republicans in recent cycles, so Democratic primaries often focus on identifying a candidate who can build statewide name recognition, raise money, and mobilize turnout. State rules allow primaries and, if no candidate receives a majority, a runoff between the top two vote-getters; that process can lengthen the nomination timeline and change dynamics.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective, real-time assessment of which listed outcome will be certified as the official Democratic nominee; treat prices as a snapshot that updates with new information rather than as a fixed prediction.
The market close is listed as TBD; resolution timing will depend on when Mississippi’s Democratic nomination is officially determined and certified. If the primary leads to a runoff, the final result (and therefore market resolution) may occur only after that runoff and any official certification by state authorities or the party.
The market resolves to the candidate who is the officially certified Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Mississippi according to the state’s or party’s official results and the market platform’s resolution policy. That typically means the person listed as the nominee in official certification or a party announcement.
If no primary candidate wins a majority, Mississippi’s rules send the top two to a runoff; that can extend the nomination process, change which candidates remain competitive, and lead the market to adjust until the runoff is decided and certified.
'Other' typically covers any certified nominee not listed among the specific outcomes, including a late replacement, a successful write-in campaign, or a different candidate after withdrawals. The market resolves to whatever candidate is officially certified as the Democratic nominee.
Track Mississippi Secretary of State vote tallies and certification notices, state and national party announcements, FEC fundraising reports, major endorsements, local and state polling of primary voters, and news about candidate withdrawals or legal challenges—any of which can materially change the nomination outlook.