| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $40K | Trade → |
| Fraud | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $37K | Trade → |
| Kristi / Noem | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Renee / Pretti | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Healthcare | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Walz | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Crime / Criminal | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| San Francisco | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Homan | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Insurance / Insured | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Billion | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| ICE / DHS | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Taxpayer | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| New York | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market tracks which witnesses are mentioned during a specified hearing about sanctuary cities. Mentions matter because they indicate which experts, officials, or stakeholders are being cited in the record and can shape public and policymaker attention.
Sanctuary cities—jurisdictions that limit cooperation with federal immigration enforcement—have been the subject of legislative and oversight hearings at local, state, and federal levels. Hearings typically feature a mix of municipal officials, law enforcement, federal agencies, immigrant-advocacy groups, and policy experts; which witnesses are mentioned affects the narrative and can influence subsequent policy debate.
Market prices reflect traders’ expectations about which witnesses will be mentioned and update as new information (schedules, subpoenas, witness statements, media leaks) becomes available. Use prices as a real-time signal of market consensus while monitoring official hearing schedules and transcripts for confirmation.
A 'mention' is any reference to a named witness in the official hearing record or the designated source used for resolution (for example, a committee transcript or the published hearing summary). Check the market's resolution criteria for the authoritative definition.
The market resolves based on the specific hearing identified in its event description; that description lists the convening body and any docket or date details. If the description is ambiguous, consult the market rules or platform clarifications for the exact hearing referenced.
Each outcome should be labeled with the witness name or the outcome text visible on the market page. If an outcome label is unclear, refer to the market details or contact platform support for a mapping from outcome labels to names.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; the platform will announce a close or resolution time once the hearing schedule or resolution criteria are confirmed. Resolution typically occurs after the hearing and when the designated source (transcript or official summary) is available.
Likely categories include municipal leaders from sanctuary jurisdictions, law enforcement chiefs, federal immigration officials, advocacy organizations representing immigrants or enforcement interests, and policy researchers—mentions of high-profile plaintiffs or litigants can also move outcomes.