| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immigrant / Immigration | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $55K | Trade → |
| Healthcare | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $32K | Trade → |
| Iran | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| Trump | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| Kristi / Noem | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Billion | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Protest / Protester | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Republican | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Investigate / Investigating / Investigation | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
This market tracks whether Minnesota Governor Tim Walz will hold a formal press conference that is recognized by the market's resolution rules. Press conferences are important because they convey official policy positions, emergency responses, or campaign messaging that can move public attention and local political dynamics.
Tim Walz, as governor of Minnesota, periodically holds press conferences to announce policy actions, emergency responses, or campaign-related developments. Historically, governors use press conferences during natural disasters, legislative milestones, public-health updates, or major administrative decisions. This market is hosted on Kalshi and will resolve according to the exchange's stated criteria and timeline.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders and update as new information becomes available; they are not guarantees of outcome. Use the market as a real-time signal of changing likelihoods and check the event page for official resolution details.
The market looks for a formal press conference associated with Tim Walz or his official office: a public, on-the-record event where the governor (or an authorized representative on his behalf) delivers prepared remarks and takes questions from media in a manner the exchange recognizes under its resolution rules.
The market's closing and resolution timeline are determined by Kalshi; this event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', so check the event page or exchange notices for the definitive close and any post-event resolution windows.
Kalshi (the market host) or its designated resolution authority applies the exchange's published rules and uses credible sources—official statements, widely recognized media reports, and documented video or transcripts—to make a determination.
It depends on whether the appearance is presented and conducted as a formal press conference (organized by the governor's office, on-the-record, with media access); purely informal social-media posts or unscripted livestreams without media access may not meet the market's criteria.
Monitor official communications from the governor's office, calendars or schedules released to the press, local news breaking stories (natural disasters, major policy decisions, legislative actions), reporter tweets and tips, and advance notices from state agencies that often precede formal briefings.