| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt / Corruption | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $40K | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| Supreme Leader | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Fraud | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Save Act / Save America Act | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Kristi / Noem | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Stock Market | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Iran (3+ times) | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Epstein | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| ICE / DHS | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Protest / Protester | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Congress / Congressional | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Oil | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Russia / Russian | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
This market trades outcomes tied to whether and how the phrase "Rachel Maddow Show" is mentioned according to the market's published definitions. It matters because mentions track media attention and can move quickly as news and commentary evolve.
The Rachel Maddow Show is a long-running, high-profile cable news program whose segments and guests frequently intersect with political news and cultural conversations. Mentions of the show appear across television, online news, and social platforms, and their frequency and context are shaped by breaking events, guest appearances, and editorial choices. Market outcomes capture discrete, predefined mention scenarios rather than open-ended sentiment.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of participants about which predefined mention outcome will occur and update as new information arrives; they are best interpreted as a snapshot of consensus, not a fixed prediction. Volume and active trading can improve market informativeness but do not guarantee accuracy.
The market is resolved according to the precise definitions and monitored sources listed on the event page; that typically means the exact phrase(s) and the set of outlets/time window specified by the market description, so consult that text for the authoritative rule.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event page; resolution timing and any post-event adjudication process will follow the market's posted rules on KALSHI, so watch the event page for updates and official announcements.
Each of the 16 outcomes corresponds to a distinct, predefined mention scenario (for example different time windows, contexts, or counts); the event page contains the exact outcome labels and resolution criteria that define each option.
Whether quotes, retweets, or excerpts count depends on the market's resolution criteria and the set of monitored sources; consult the event's resolution rules to see which forms of content the adjudicator will include.
Total volume traded indicates the level of trading activity and liquidity that has occurred so far; higher volume generally means more participants and information have been incorporated into prices, but you should still review the outcome definitions and timeline before trading.