| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayor / Mamdani | 13% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $50K | Trade → |
| Trump / President | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| IED | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Islamophobia | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Iran / Iranian | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| ISIS | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| First Amendment | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Ramadan | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Quantico | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| FBI | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market asks whether the name "Jessica Tisch" will be spoken or otherwise referenced during an official New York Police Department press conference. Tracking mentions helps market participants gauge whether an individual is receiving official attention during public safety briefings, which can influence media coverage and public perception.
Jessica Tisch is a public figure connected to New York City government and public-safety matters; mentions at NYPD briefings typically occur when a conference topic overlaps with an individual's responsibilities, a breaking incident, or an administrative action. Historically, NYPD press conferences often reference city officials, agency leaders, or persons involved in active investigations, so the presence or absence of a mention reflects the conference's agenda and any contemporaneous developments.
Market prices reflect the crowd's expectation that a mention will occur and update as new evidence (agendas, official statements, leaks, or breaking events) becomes available. Treat prices as a realtime indicator of attention rather than a statement of fact—final determination depends on the market's adjudication of the official press-conference record.
A mention generally means the spoken or officially published reference to the name "Jessica Tisch" during the NYPD press-conference event window, including by NYPD spokespeople or reporters in the Q&A. Exact adjudication criteria (e.g., whether captions or social-media posts count) are determined by the market's official rules and evidence standard.
Adjudicators typically rely on the official NYPD press-conference livestream or recording, any official NYPD transcript or statement tied to that briefing, and authoritative news recordings of the event. Consult the market's event rules for the complete list of accepted evidence sources.
A reporter's spoken question that includes her name is usually considered a mention because it occurs during the official press-conference record; however, final determination follows the market's adjudication policy, so check the event rules for how reporter remarks are handled.
Only references made during the official press-conference time window established for the event are typically eligible. Mentions in pre- or post-conference interviews or unrelated briefings normally do not count unless the market specifies a broader window.
Reviewing prior NYPD briefings shows patterns—mentions commonly accompany related incidents, personnel announcements, or policy rollouts. Comparing the announced topic, presence of relevant officials, and contemporaneous news can help you assess whether this press conference is likely to mention Tisch.