| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $58K | Trade → |
| Election | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $40K | Trade → |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Epstein | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Kristi / Noem | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Iran | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Republican | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Trump | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market tracks whether and how Hakeem Jeffries is mentioned during a specific MS NOW interview and lets traders express views on the likelihood and form of media coverage. It matters because media mentions can signal issue salience and influence public attention.
Hakeem Jeffries is a prominent congressional leader whose actions and statements often attract national media attention; mentions on major news programs can amplify his messaging or campaign narratives. MS NOW is a broadcast/news segment where hosts, guests, and interviewers can raise contemporary political topics; markets like this capture real‑time expectations about how that program will reference public figures.
Market prices aggregate traders' views about the expected mention outcome and update as new information arrives; they should be read as the current market consensus rather than a fixed prediction. Because prices change in real time, consult the live market page for the most current view and the official outcome labels.
A 'mention' generally means an on-air spoken reference to Hakeem Jeffries during the interview segment; whether indirect references, pronouns, on-screen text, or pre/post-show promos are counted is determined by the market's official resolution rules—check the market page for the definitive definition.
The market offers 12 mutually exclusive labeled outcomes representing different mention scenarios (for example, varying counts or categorical outcomes); the exact labels and what each outcome represents are listed on the market page and are the authoritative guide for traders.
This market's close and resolution timeline are listed as TBD on the page; the official resolution criteria, adjudicator, and timestamp for settlement are provided in the market's rules on KALSHI and should be consulted for final determination.
In many mention markets only spoken on-air references during the specified segment are counted, while graphics, promos, and external social posts are excluded—but inclusion can vary by market, so verify the inclusion/exclusion rules on the market's official description.
Late-breaking developments such as an announcement from Jeffries, a major legislative vote, a scandal or viral statement, coordinated opposition messaging, or an unexpected question from the host can all rapidly shift traders' expectations and market prices.