| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | 30% | 21¢ | 35¢ | — | $479 | Trade → |
| Trump | 34% | 15¢ | 56¢ | — | $409 | Trade → |
| Iran | 80% | 80¢ | 88¢ | — | $201 | Trade → |
| Oil / Gas / Fuel | 70% | 23¢ | 89¢ | — | $132 | Trade → |
| Inflation | 60% | 50¢ | 57¢ | — | $102 | Trade → |
| Healthcare | 30% | 15¢ | 44¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| Tax Cut | 0% | 36¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gender | 0% | 10¢ | 79¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | 0% | 10¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Zealand | 0% | 10¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Economy / Economic | 0% | 41¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | 10¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| TAFE | 0% | 23¢ | 78¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks whether and how Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is mentioned during sittings of the Australian Parliament’s Question Time. Mentions in Question Time can indicate which issues are driving parliamentary scrutiny and media attention on a given day.
Question Time is a regular parliamentary proceeding where government ministers, including the prime minister, are questioned by opposition and crossbench MPs; it is a common venue for direct references to the prime minister. The volume and tone of mentions tend to reflect current policy disputes, breaking news, government announcements, or opposition strategy rather than being random.
Market prices aggregate trader expectations about whether and when mentions will occur and can move rapidly as new information emerges. Use prices as a complement to primary sources (Hansard, parliamentary broadcasts, news) rather than as definitive proof of causation.
A mention is an audible, on-the-record reference to Anthony Albanese during the formal Question Time sitting, as captured in the official parliamentary record (Hansard) or accredited video/audio feeds; indirect references that clearly identify him are treated the same as uses of his name.
Opening and closing times are set by the market operator for each listed session; closure details are announced on the platform before the session. If the event listing shows 'TBD', consult the market page for the announced cutoff prior to the relevant Question Time.
Outcome adjudication relies on authoritative sources such as Hansard transcripts and official parliamentary broadcasts; the market’s dispute-resolution rules describe which records are used and how challenges are handled.
Unless the market specifies speaker-specific outcomes, all qualifying on-record mentions during Question Time count equally; check the event description for any outcomes tied to particular speakers or thresholds.
Past sessions can show which issues prompt frequent references and which parliamentary tactics increase mentions, but patterns change with news cycles, policy moves, and political strategy—use history as context, not as a guarantee of future behavior.