| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: >0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: >0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the Federal Reserve's March 2026 policy decision combined with the number of dissenting votes; it matters because the decision sets near-term interest rate policy and dissents signal internal Fed disagreement. The market has seen substantive participation (total volume traded: $60,082), which indicates active interest from traders and observers.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets regularly to set the federal funds target and issues a statement and voting record that record any dissents. Historically, markets watch both the rate action and the count of dissents because dissents can signal how durable a decision is and whether future moves are contentious. March meetings can be especially important when incoming inflation, employment, or financial-stability developments create scope for policy shifts or intra-committee disagreement.
Market odds on this combo reflect the collective assessment of traders about the March 2026 FOMC decision and the expected number of dissents; treat them as a real-time summary of expectations that updates with new data and Fed communications. Use the market alongside official Fed releases, macro data, and qualitative analysis rather than as a standalone forecast.
This combo market pairs the March 2026 FOMC policy action (e.g., hold, hike, cut as defined by the market rules) with the official number of dissenting votes recorded for that decision; consult the event page for the precise outcome labels and the market's settlement table.
Resolution timing is set by the market’s rules (Closes: TBD), but such markets normally resolve after the official FOMC statement and the published voting record for the March 2026 meeting are released; check the event page for the exact resolution trigger and cutoff time.
Settlement relies on the official materials the FOMC publishes for the March 2026 meeting—primarily the FOMC statement and the officially released voting record (and any additional documents explicitly listed in the market’s resolution rules).
A dissent is any recorded vote by an FOMC participant against the committee's chosen policy action as shown in the official meeting voting record; the market follows the count appearing in the Fed’s published voting summary for the March 2026 decision.
The most influential actors are the Fed Chair and the voting members of the FOMC for March 2026 (Board governors and designated regional presidents), whose recent public remarks and known policy preferences shape both the policy choice and the likelihood of dissenting votes; changes in committee membership or unexpected public statements can materially affect market expectations.