| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 37° to 38° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 39° to 40° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 41° to 42° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 43° to 44° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the daily minimum temperature recorded at the official Washington D.C. weather station on April 7, 2026. It serves as a tool for participants to hedge against or speculate on meteorological volatility in the Mid-Atlantic region.
April in Washington D.C. represents a period of significant atmospheric transition as the region moves from late winter patterns into spring. Historical data shows high variability in early April temperatures due to the competing influence of cold air masses from the north and warming trends from the south. Local climate records provide a baseline, though specific daily outcomes remain sensitive to transient weather fronts.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of weather patterns, where current sentiment aggregates meteorological forecasts and historical climate averages into a single numerical range.
The market utilizes the official data recorded at Reagan National Airport (DCA), which serves as the primary observation site for Washington D.C.
The outcome is determined by the minimum thermometer reading recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 7, 2026.
No, the market strictly tracks the actual ambient air temperature as reported by the National Weather Service, excluding wind chill or humidity-adjusted indexes.
In the event of sensor malfunction, official reports from the National Weather Service or authorized regional climate archives will be used to determine the final, verified temperature.
The outcomes are denominated in Fahrenheit, consistent with the standard reporting units used by the National Weather Service in the United States.