| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 38° to 39° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40° to 41° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 42° to 43° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 44° to 45° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Washington, D.C., on April 6, 2026. It serves as a benchmark for local meteorological conditions and climate patterns during the transition from early spring.
April in the Mid-Atlantic region is characterized by significant temperature volatility as the influence of winter air masses wanes. Historical data for Washington, D.C., during this period shows a wide range of extremes, reflecting the complex interplay between coastal maritime air and inland continental systems. Meteorological agencies typically rely on data from Reagan National Airport as the official reporting station for the city.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the likelihood of the daily low temperature falling into specific numerical ranges. Shifts in these prices may reflect updated long-range seasonal forecasts or broader climate trend analysis.
The market utilizes official records reported by the National Weather Service, typically based on readings from Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (DCA).
The lowest temperature is defined as the minimum ambient air temperature recorded over the 24-hour period corresponding to the calendar day of April 6, 2026.
Yes, the daily minimum is calculated based on the lowest observed temperature during the entire 24-hour UTC or local time window specified by the official reporting agency.
In cases of official reporting station failure, the market will rely on secondary data sources or official adjustments provided by the National Weather Service.
April weather in Washington, D.C., is historically inconsistent; the market reflects this by providing ranges that account for both unseasonably cold late-winter remnants and premature spring warmth.