| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded in Washington, D.C. on April 16, 2026. It serves as a data-driven gauge for regional climate expectations during the mid-spring transition period.
Washington, D.C. weather in mid-April is influenced by the retreat of winter air masses and the onset of spring warmth. Historical records for this specific date show significant variability, ranging from late-season frost events to unseasonably warm mornings, depending on regional atmospheric pressure systems.
Market participants use these contracts to hedge against climate-related risks or to express positions based on meteorological trends and seasonal forecast models.
The official daily minimum temperature recorded at the Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (DCA) weather station.
The market settlement will follow standard rounding protocols as defined by the specific market rules for this contract.
No, the market is strictly based on the actual recorded air temperature, not wind chill or heat index values.
April is a period of transition where daily lows typically range from the low 40s to the mid-50s Fahrenheit, though extreme records outside this range are documented.
While forecasts provide guidance for participants, the final settlement is determined solely by the retrospective observation report issued for April 16, 2026.