| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 36° to 37° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 38° to 39° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40° to 41° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 42° to 43° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 44° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official lowest daily temperature recorded in Seattle, Washington, on April 7, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on localized climate patterns.
April in Seattle marks the transition from late winter to early spring, characterized by significant temperature variability. Historical data from the National Weather Service provides a baseline for expected ranges during this period, though climate anomalies can occasionally shift readings outside of traditional norms. This market relies on verified data from official reporting stations, typically located at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how weather models and historical trends will align on the target date. Participants should monitor professional meteorological forecasts as the date approaches to adjust their positions.
The market typically settles based on the official daily minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
No, this market tracks the actual air temperature, not the wind chill factor or heat index.
Settlement is governed by the specific rules outlined in the contract, which usually designate a secondary authoritative source or reporting method in the event of primary station failure.
The daily minimum is defined as the lowest temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 7, 2026, based on the standard reporting day.
April is a transitional month in the Pacific Northwest, leading to higher uncertainty compared to mid-summer or mid-winter, as maritime influence frequently battles incoming continental air masses.