| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 42° to 43° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 44° to 45° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° to 47° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 48° to 49° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded in Seattle, Washington, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on localized climate patterns.
April in the Pacific Northwest is characterized by the transition from winter to spring, often featuring unsettled maritime weather. Historical data for this date reflects the typical variance of the region's temperate climate, which is frequently influenced by Pacific storm tracks and marine air masses. Understanding these seasonal norms is essential for evaluating the likelihood of various temperature bands.
The market prices reflect the aggregate sentiment regarding the likelihood of the daily minimum temperature falling within specific ranges. Traders utilize meteorological forecasts and historical climate data to calibrate these positions.
The official reading is typically sourced from the National Weather Service data recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA).
The lowest temperature is the daily minimum recorded during the 24-hour period of April 6, 2026, as reported by the designated primary observation station.
In the event of an official data reporting failure, the market will rely on standardized procedures or secondary official government data sources as defined by the market rules.
No, this market tracks the actual ambient air temperature, not the 'feels like' temperature or wind chill index.
April 6th marks a point in early spring where the risk of freezing temperatures decreases significantly, making this a target for analyzing the stability of the local seasonal transition.