| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30° to 31° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 32° to 33° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 34° to 35° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 36° to 37° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 38° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Seattle on April 16, 2026. These data points provide insight into regional climate trends and the variability of mid-spring weather in the Pacific Northwest.
April in Seattle is characterized by a transition from winter conditions to spring, often resulting in significant temperature fluctuations. Historical meteorological data for mid-April typically shows a narrow range of low temperatures, influenced by the region's proximity to the Puget Sound and the Pacific Ocean. Because weather patterns are sensitive to atmospheric shifts, precise minimum temperatures remain a challenge to forecast long in advance.
Participants interpret these market values as the collective aggregation of meteorological forecasts and climate modeling expectations for that specific calendar day.
The official data is derived from the National Weather Service observations taken at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (SEA).
The market resolves based on the official, finalized meteorological data reported by the National Weather Service for that calendar date.
Mid-April represents a transitional period in Seattle; historical records show that while early morning frosts are possible, temperatures usually remain well above freezing.
No, this market relies on the actual air temperature recorded by standard thermometers, not the 'feels-like' or wind chill index.
The low is defined by the official daily minimum temperature record, which typically covers the 24-hour period ending at midnight for that specific date.