| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45° to 46° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° to 48° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in San Antonio, Texas, on April 7, 2026. It allows participants to hedge against or speculate on local climate conditions on a specific spring date.
San Antonio experiences a humid subtropical climate, and April typically marks a transition period between lingering winter cold fronts and early summer heat. Historical meteorological data for early April shows significant variance, as the city can be influenced by cold air masses descending from the north or warm, moist air arriving from the Gulf of Mexico. Accuracy depends on official records from the National Weather Service station serving the San Antonio area.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how weather patterns will manifest on this specific day, aggregating professional meteorological forecasts and historical climate trends.
The official reading is typically derived from the National Weather Service observations at the San Antonio International Airport.
The outcome is based on the official final data released by the National Weather Service; if the station is operational, that official report stands.
Traders analyze the mean, median, and extreme low temperatures recorded in San Antonio over the last several decades for the date of April 7.
No, this market tracks the actual ambient air temperature recorded as the daily minimum, not the 'feels-like' temperature or wind chill.
The market considers the lowest temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 7, 2026, in local time.