| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° to 48° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded in San Antonio, Texas, on April 6, 2026. Traders analyze historical weather data and long-range meteorological patterns to forecast precise temperature ranges for this specific calendar date.
San Antonio experiences a humid subtropical climate, where early April is typically a period of transition between cool spring mornings and warming afternoons. Historically, daily minimums during this time reflect the volatility of late-season cold fronts moving across South Texas. Analyzing multi-year climate trends provides a baseline for expected seasonal variations.
Market prices represent the aggregate forecast of participants regarding the most likely temperature bracket, reflecting the balance of collective confidence in historical trends versus anticipated climate anomalies.
Official data is typically sourced from the National Weather Service (NWS) monitoring station at the San Antonio International Airport.
The lowest temperature is defined as the minimum dry-bulb temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 6, 2026, measured in degrees Fahrenheit.
In the event of station failure or data unavailability, standard market resolution procedures default to the official records released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
No, historical averages provide a statistical range, but year-to-year weather variability makes any specific date subject to significant departure from long-term norms.
Forecasting accuracy generally increases as the date approaches, as short-term numerical weather prediction models become more reliable than seasonal climate outlooks.