| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° to 56° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° to 58° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° to 60° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 61° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in San Antonio, Texas, on April 21, 2026. It serves as a localized hedge or speculative instrument for climate trends and seasonal weather variability in South Texas.
April in San Antonio marks a transitional period where the region moves from mild spring weather toward the onset of summer heat. Historical climate data for this date generally reflects moderate overnight lows, though the region is susceptible to sudden cold fronts or anomalous heat waves driven by regional air mass shifts. Because the market focuses on a single specific day, it reflects the inherent volatility of short-term meteorological forecasting.
The market prices represent the collective outlook of participants on where the overnight low will land within pre-defined numerical ranges, reflecting the most likely meteorological outcome.
The official data is derived from the San Antonio International Airport station (KSAT), which serves as the primary reporting source for the city.
The market settles based on the official recorded low temperature provided by the National Weather Service, regardless of whether the weather was typical or extreme.
Yes, the official low is determined by the minimum temperature reading captured during the 24-hour period of April 21, 2026, in the local time zone.
Historical climate data provides a baseline range, but participants often adjust their outlook based on current long-range climate models and seasonal forecasts.
The market relies on the official reported data; if the reporting agency makes adjustments to their equipment or site, those figures remain the governing source of truth.