| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in San Antonio, Texas, on April 20, 2026. It serves as a localized hedge or speculative instrument for climate trends and seasonal weather variability in South Central Texas.
San Antonio experiences a humid subtropical climate, where mid-April transition periods can result in significant temperature fluctuations. Historical data for this region often shows moderate spring mornings, though anomalous cold fronts or unseasonably warm air masses can shift these averages significantly. Local weather conditions are heavily influenced by proximity to the Gulf of Mexico and prevailing air currents from the Great Plains.
Participants use this market to reflect collective expectations on regional atmospheric conditions, with market outcomes aggregating diverse meteorological forecasts and historical climate patterns.
The official result is determined by data reported by the National Weather Service (NWS) station at San Antonio International Airport (SAT).
The market resolves based on the official temperature data provided by the NWS, regardless of how extreme or unexpected the weather conditions may be.
April 20 falls in the middle of a transition month where San Antonio typically shifts from cool spring mornings to warmer summer-like patterns, making the daily minimum sensitive to specific air mass changes.
The outcome is based strictly on the daily minimum temperature recorded for the calendar day of April 20, 2026.
It is defined as the absolute lowest temperature reading recorded during the 24-hour period of April 20, 2026, as finalized in official climate records.