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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Apr 16, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
62° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
63° to 64° 0%
$0 Trade →
65° to 66° 0%
$0 Trade →
67° to 68° 0%
$0 Trade →
69° to 70° 0%
$0 Trade →
71° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in San Antonio, Texas, on April 16, 2026. Monitoring regional temperature fluctuations provides insight into localized climate trends and seasonal weather patterns in South Texas.

April in San Antonio is a transitional month characterized by the shift from mild spring weather to the early onset of summer heat. Historical climate data for mid-April indicates significant variance, as the region is susceptible to both lingering cold fronts from the north and warm, humid air masses from the Gulf of Mexico. This volatility makes specific daily temperature outcomes difficult to forecast long-term.

Market prices reflect the aggregate expectation of future weather conditions based on meteorological models and historical climate averages. Prices shift as new seasonal forecasts emerge and proximity to the date decreases.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which weather station's data is used to determine the official result?

The official result is typically based on data from the primary National Weather Service reporting station located at the San Antonio International Airport.

What happens if there is a extreme weather event on April 16, 2026?

The market settles based on the official temperature data provided by the designated weather authority, regardless of whether the day features unusual or extreme weather conditions.

Does this market account for wind chill or 'feels like' temperatures?

No, this market tracks the actual recorded air temperature, not wind chill or heat index measurements.

How is the 'lowest temperature' defined for this market?

The lowest temperature is defined as the minimum dry-bulb air temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 16, 2026.

Are there specific time-of-day requirements for the temperature reading?

The reading is determined by the minimum temperature value officially logged by the relevant meteorological agency for the full calendar day.

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