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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Apr 15, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
62° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
63° to 64° 0%
$0 Trade →
65° to 66° 0%
$0 Trade →
67° to 68° 0%
$0 Trade →
69° to 70° 0%
$0 Trade →
71° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in San Antonio, Texas, on April 15, 2026. Monitoring localized weather patterns is essential for understanding regional climate trends and their potential impact on local agriculture and energy demand.

San Antonio experiences a humid subtropical climate, typically characterized by mild to warm spring temperatures. Mid-April weather can be volatile, often influenced by shifting cold fronts from the north or moisture influxes from the Gulf of Mexico, which create significant variance in overnight lows. Historical data from this period reflects a wide range of outcomes depending on specific synoptic weather patterns present in South Texas.

Market prices represent the collective expectation of weather outcomes, where higher prices indicate a higher market consensus for a specific temperature bracket. Traders should look for shifts in meteorological forecasts as the date approaches to adjust their positions.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the official data source for this temperature reading?

The market utilizes official records from the National Weather Service (NWS) station located at the San Antonio International Airport.

What happens if there is an equipment failure at the weather station?

In cases of official reporting station failure, the market typically reverts to the next best official meteorological source or the official NWS secondary records for that location.

Does this market account for wind chill or 'feels like' temperatures?

No, this market tracks the official ambient air temperature as recorded by standard meteorological instruments, not perceived temperatures.

How does mid-April weather historically vary in San Antonio?

Mid-April represents a transition period where early morning lows can range from the cool 50s to the warm 70s depending on the prevailing air mass.

Why is the date April 15, 2026, specifically chosen?

This date serves as a standard benchmark for evaluating spring climate conditions in South Texas during the mid-month period.

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