| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix, Arizona, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a localized instrument for participants to hedge against or speculate on meteorological volatility in the Sonoran Desert.
April in Phoenix marks the transition from pleasant spring weather to the early onset of desert heat. Historical data from Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, the official observation site, shows significant variance in daily lows during early April, influenced by shifting pressure systems and dry air mass characteristics. Climatological records for this time of year typically feature a wide range of nightly minimums, making this a test of precision in long-range weather modeling.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the likelihood of the daily minimum temperature falling into a specific numeric bin.
The official daily minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport (PHX) is the definitive source.
Phoenix's concrete and asphalt landscape traps heat, often preventing the overnight temperature from dropping as low as it would in the surrounding desert, which can skew the minimum temperature higher.
No, this market relies exclusively on the official reading from the Sky Harbor station, which serves as the climate reporting point for the city.
The market follows standard reporting procedures from the National Weather Service; if the primary station reports data, that figure is final.
The provided bins are designed to encompass the historical range of variability, including potential deviations from the mean caused by unusual weather patterns.