| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26° to 27° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28° to 29° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30° to 31° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 32° to 33° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 34° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the lowest air temperature in Philadelphia will be on March 28, 2026. It matters to traders and weather‑sensitive users who want to hedge or speculate on late‑March temperature outcomes in the city.
Late March is a transitional month for Philadelphia: the region can experience anything from lingering chilly air masses to milder, springlike conditions depending on synoptic patterns. Forecasts can change as model runs update, and outcomes are influenced by features like cold fronts, cloud cover, coastal influence, and snow or ground conditions. Market participants include weather traders, energy firms, event planners, and anyone with exposure to temperature risk in the region.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about the lowest temperature and will update as new meteorological information becomes available. Interpret prices as a real‑time signal of market sentiment and evolving forecasts rather than a static forecast.
Most weather markets use the local calendar date (00:00 to 23:59 local time) for the named date, but you should confirm the event's official settlement window and time zone on the event page and rules.
The event page or market rules specify the official source (for example, a named NWS/ASOS station or a specified dataset). Always check the event details to confirm which station or dataset will be used for settlement.
The six outcomes correspond to mutually exclusive temperature ranges or bins that together cover all possible lowest temperatures; consult the event listing for the exact boundaries and choose the bin that matches your forecast view.
The close time is listed as TBD for this event; settlement typically occurs after the observation window ends and once the official data are available. Monitor the event page for announced close and settlement times.
Late March is transitional—periods of late‑season cold and frost are possible alongside milder days due to early spring warmth, and coastal/moderating influences can reduce extremes. This natural variability is why forecasts and market prices can shift markedly in the days leading up to the date.