| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 34° to 35° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 36° to 37° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 38° to 39° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40° to 41° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 42° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market allows participants to predict the daily minimum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on April 7, 2026. These forecasts serve as a localized gauge for seasonal climate patterns and regional weather volatility.
Philadelphia experiences mid-spring weather in early April, historically characterized by a transition from winter chill to budding warmth. However, the region remains susceptible to cold snaps and polar air masses that can unexpectedly drop temperatures near or below freezing during this time of year. Data for this market is typically sourced from official meteorological observations taken at the Philadelphia International Airport.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding where the daily low temperature will settle, reflecting both historical climate averages and current meteorological model projections.
The official result is typically based on data provided by the National Weather Service (NWS) as recorded at the Philadelphia International Airport observation station.
Market resolution usually defaults to the official NWS historical archive; if the station is operational, its recorded minimum remains the standard, regardless of flight status.
It refers to the absolute lowest temperature reached within the 24-hour calendar day of April 7, 2026.
While long-term climate trends show a gradual warming, individual days remain subject to high variance due to localized weather systems, making them difficult to forecast far in advance.
The 24-hour period is defined by the local time zone in Philadelphia (Eastern Time) for the calendar date of April 7.