| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 35° to 36° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 37° to 38° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 39° to 40° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 41° to 42° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 43° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on April 6, 2026. It serves as a data-driven barometer for regional spring weather variability and climatological trends.
April in Philadelphia is a transition month where the region experiences significant fluctuations between late winter remnants and early spring warmth. Historical data indicates that while average daily minimums often sit in the mid-40s Fahrenheit, record lows and highs can deviate significantly based on incoming cold fronts or warm air masses from the south. This market reflects the inherent difficulty in forecasting specific meteorological outcomes months in advance.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how extreme or moderate the weather will be on that specific date, synthesized from meteorological models and historical climate averages.
The official temperature is sourced from the National Weather Service recording station at Philadelphia International Airport (PHL).
The market relies on the official, verified data released by the National Weather Service; if the primary station is offline, standard contingency protocols for data verification will apply.
No, the market is strictly based on the ambient air temperature recorded by the thermometer at the official site, excluding wind chill or heat index adjustments.
The closing date determines the cutoff point for placing trades based on the most current medium-range meteorological models and forecast updates.
Spring is a period of high volatility in Philadelphia, which is why the market includes multiple brackets to account for both unseasonable frosts and early warm spells.