| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27° to 28° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 29° to 30° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 31° to 32° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 33° to 34° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 35° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the daily minimum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on April 21, 2026. These data points provide insight into regional climate trends and local spring weather volatility.
Philadelphia experiences significant seasonal transitions in late April, with historical daily lows typically fluctuating due to the movement of cold fronts and coastal maritime influences. Monitoring this specific date requires assessing long-term climatological averages against the potential for late-season frost or unseasonably warm overnight conditions. Official records from the National Weather Service are utilized to determine the final, verified minimum temperature.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of where the daily minimum temperature will fall, with different price brackets corresponding to specific temperature ranges.
The official temperature is typically sourced from the National Weather Service reporting station at Philadelphia International Airport (PHL).
The market resolves based on the official recorded daily minimum temperature regardless of the meteorological cause, provided the official record remains valid.
The 'lowest temperature' refers to the minimum daily value recorded during the 24-hour period of April 21, 2026, as reported by the official source.
April is a transition month characterized by high variability; nights can drop near freezing, though warming trends are common as the month progresses.
No, this market tracks the actual air temperature, not the 'feels-like' temperature or wind chill factor.